MIG Reports analysis of voter discussions and reactions to the election debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump suggest voters believe Trump won.

Data shows distinct reactions from:

• Democrats
• Republicans
• Independents and undecided voters
• All voters combined

Weighted analysis of data from voter conversations on four key topics—security issues, border security, economic issues, and ideologies—shows a clearer understanding of voter sentiment and the perceived "winner." This analysis synthesizes opinions across different voter groups to provide a comprehensive overview of public reaction.

MIG Reports data shows across topics, Trump outperformed Kamala Harris among his base and all voters combined. However, Harris’s sentiment on the economy and ideologies may have an increased margin for error—and may potentially be artificially inflated—due to troll-posting from Trump supporters ironically praising her.

Security Issues

Security issues play a pivotal role in shaping perceptions of the candidates' debate performances. Across all voter groups, Donald Trump has a slight lead, gaining 45.46% of overall support compared Harris’s 41.98%.

• Among Democrats, Harris is seen as the more capable leader, with 65% of Democratic voters praising her confidence and preparedness.
• Republican voters show strong allegiance to Trump, with 65% believing he dominated the discussion on security.
• Independents also lean toward Trump, with 60% of their comments supporting his stance, although 25% acknowledge Harris's performance.
• 12.56% of overall voter reactions are neutral.

Border Security

Trump handily wins the immigration and border discussion across all groups, with 56.12% of total sentiments in his favor.

• Democrats largely rally behind Harris, with 65% approving her border comments, focusing on her humane approach to immigration.
• Republicans overwhelmingly back Trump, with 82% crediting him for his firm stance on border control and framing Harris as ineffective.
• Independents also lean heavily toward Trump, with 60% supporting his approach to border security, while 25% align with Harris.
• The overall voter reaction remains consistent, showing 62% support for Trump.

Economic Issues

On the economy, Trump also holds an overall advantage, with 49.29% of voters favoring him compared to 42.16% for Harris.

• Harris has 68% support among Democrats. They say she won the economic debate, citing her middle-class policies and critiques of Trump's tax cuts as effective.
• 75% of Republican voters stand firmly behind Trump, highlighting his economic record and ability to keep inflation low during his presidency.
• Independents also favor Trump on economic matters, with 65% backing his approach and 30% saying Harris performed well.
• Across all voters, the economic narrative skews toward Trump, who emerges as the more trusted candidate on this issue.

Ideologies

The ideological debate reveals a more nuanced picture, with Trump holding a lead overall at 47.79%, while Harris trails at 36.46%.

• Among Democrats, 70% say Harris won the ideological argument, viewing her progressive policies and composure as strengths.
• Republicans are loyal to Trump, with 84% supporting his stance and framing Harris’s ideas as too left leaning.
• Independents are more divided on ideological issues, with 45% favoring Trump and 33% backing Harris.
• The general electorate reflects a similar divide, with 45% for Trump and 33% for Harris. While Trump leads in overall sentiment, the ideological debate remains contested, with Harris holding significant support among certain groups.